Both primary and secondary data were used for the study, and a multinomial logit. Complex patterns of climate, climate change, and livelihoods. Food security is highly sensitive to climate risks in ethiopia. Impacts of climate change on food security learners notes 3 agricultural systems will need to cope with new stresses and risks. Global evidence climate change, agriculture and food security is now a subject of global concern. Safeguarding food security in the face of climate change also implies avoiding the disruptions or declines in global and local food supplies that could result from changes in temperature and precipitation regimes and new patterns of pests and diseases. These changes also hamper economic activity and aggravate existing social and economic problems. Pdf climate change is happening and already affecting food security in africa. Professor tekalign mamo, ministry of agriculture, ethiopia. The african continent is one of the regions of the world where climate change and food insecurity have a more dramatic impact. Climate change is already affecting food security and it is expected to have even greater impacts in coming years. Mapping vulnerability to climate change of the farming sector in the nile basin of ethiopia.
Achieving food security in the face of climate change le hub rural. Climate change, growth, and poverty in ethiopia ethiopia. Agriculture is one of the most important sectors vulnerable to climate change. Care ethiopia has successfully implemented a wide range of projects in the field of food security and communitybased adaptation, particularly focusing on agricultural and pastoralist livelihoods to foster vulnerable households awareness of climate impacts and cultivate their capacity to respond, adapt and transform their livelihoods to deal with the short and longterm implications of. Zenebe gebreegziabher, alemu mekonnen, rahel deribe, jonse bane, and samuel abera zewdie. Multiple biophysical, political, and socioeconomic stresses interact to increase the regions susceptibility and constrain its adaptive capacity. Climate change reflects abnormal variations to the expected climate and subsequent effects on other parts of the earth, over durations ranging from decades to millions of years. However, assessing the ways in which livelihoods and specific vulnerabilities. Somali is the second largest region of ethiopia with an area of 327,000km2. Over the coming decades, a changing climate, growing. Taye et al 2018 researched the impact of climate change on water resources in the awash basin in ethiopia.
As such, the number of studies on climate change and its impacts is increasing and the major aspects addressed include. The impact of climate change on food security in south africa. It is believed that, putting this in place, mitigation strategies can be attained and food security achieved within the ssa where the challenge of vulnerability and poverty is in the increase. The model shows that the food security gap in ethiopia is expected to be greater with climate change than the food security gap without climate change. Until very recently, studies on climate change in ethiopia were very limited. Our own special project on climate change and food security includes fieldlevel reportage on local adaption initiatives in. This analysis is part of the resilience project initiative coordinated by wfps office for climate change, environment and disaster risk reduction. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopia s gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on agricultural productivity. This study investigated how smallholder farmers perceive climate change, what adaptation strategies they practice, and factors that influence their adaptation decisions. The annual and seasonal rainfall variability is between 50 and 80%, aver. The impact of climate change on food security and livelihoods. Ethiopia is vulnerable to climate change because our.
Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in sub. Climate change will affect all four dimensions of food security. Agricultural adaptation to climate change in africa. Understanding climate as a driver of food insecurity in ethiopia. Mainstreaming climate change in ethiopias agricultural and food security policies.
The map below shows the global distribution of risks associated with main agricultural production systems. Climate change and food security food security information network. Assessing the potential effects of climate change on food security requires. This academic paper uses ethiopia as a case study detailing how farmers are adapting to climate change. Nowadays, research on climate change is expanding in ethiopia eshetu, 2011. Modeling climate change, food security, and population. Aug 11, 2017 the issues of climate change and its impact on food security are increasingly recognised in different parts of the world, including africa.
The impact of climate change on food security in south. Between 2000 and 2018, ethiopias gdp per capita growth was 189 per cent, ranking third globally behind china and myanmar respectively. The united nations development report reported that one in four households in subsaharan africa cannot access adequate food united nations 2012. Global food security threatened by climate change is one of the most important challenges in the 21st century to supply sufficient food for the increasing population while sustaining the already stressed environment. Climate change is now a global phenomenon with growth, poverty, food security, and stability implications because of significant dependence. Climate change is now a global phenomenon with growth, poverty, food security, and stability implications because of significant dependence on the agricultural sector for production, employment. Historical and more recent climaterelated events such as the 20082009 and 2011 food security crises in the horn of africa have highlighted the impact of droughts and floods on food production, access to markets, and income from agricultural activities. Climate change and natural disaster ethiopia is vulnerable to climate change induced disasters such as drought, epidemics, flood, conflict, earthquake, pests, wildfire and landslide, amongst. Historical and more recent climate related events such as the 20082009 and 2011 food security crises in the horn of africa have highlighted the impact of droughts and floods on food production, access to markets, and income from agricultural activities. Climate risks and development projects assessment report for a communitylevel project in guduru, oromiya, ethiopia marius keller bread for all, november 2009 bread for all is the swiss protestant churches development agency. Climate change will have farreaching impacts on food security. Most rural people live in the highlands and middlehighlands, which comprise only onethird of the country, and this population tends to be. Reducing risks to food security from climate change.
It alters the composition of the global andor regional atmosphere and natural climate. The agricultural sector remains the main source of livelihoods for rural communities in ethiopia, but faces the challenge of changing climate. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopias gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on agricultural productivity. Agriculture and food security, in partnership with contact points from all cgiar centers and numerous research and development partners. Promoting activities that increase carbon storage, combine animal husbandry and trees with food. Given the serious threats, actionoriented research is a priority. Studies on the impact of climate change on growth and poverty in ethiopia should focus on the agricultural sector for it is undoubtedly the most important, and sensitive, sector to climate change. The impacts of climate change effects on livelihoods, food and water security, ecosystems, infrastructure etc. Impact of climate change on food security in ethiopia. Study session 11 impacts of climate change in ethiopia introduction. It alters the composition of the global and or regional atmosphere and natural climate. Global food security threatened by climate change is one of the most important challenges in the 21st century to supply sufficient food for the increasing population while sustaining the already stressed environment 1. In ethiopia, several empirical studies have been conducted to identify the impact of social and economic factors on household food security. Carter nber, department of agricultural and resource.
Modelling system for agricultural impacts of climate change. Climate change is any longterm significant change in the expected patterns of average weather of a specific area over a significant period of time. There is also ample evidence that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of climate shocks. It had applied to examine lessresearch question of economy widehousehold level impact of climate change on food security in ethiopia. There is ample evidence that climate shocks create and sustain poverty and food insecurity in rural regions of the developing world. Climate change is a contributory factor to the food price crisis, and its impact on agriculture and food security in developing countries is expected to get more serious. Climate change, natural disaster and rural poverty in ethiopia. Smallholder farmers adaptation to climate change and. Climate change trends and policy framework recent climate trends in ethiopia according to the undp climate change country profile, ethiopias mean annual temperature has increased by 1. Can insurance help manage climate risk and food insecurity. The authors would like to thank the editor and two anonymous referees for the useful and constructive comments. Adaptation, mitigation and governance challenges tional climate change negotiations can be remedied by concerted action on the part of african leaders in the copenhagen round of negotiations. It supports 400 development projects and programmes in 57 countries in africa, asia and latin america.
The impacts of climate change on crop yield can already be detected in observed data lobell et al. Climate change, agriculture and food security ccafs. The ipcc shows that southern africa has higher climate change vulnerability and predicts that the consequences could be severe, exerting farreaching impacts on the livelihoods. Climate change is a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity. Climate change is happening and already affecting food security in africa.
Pdf impacts of climate change on food security in ethiopia. Climate changevariability impacts on farmers livelihoods. Impact of climate variability on household food availability in tigray. Financial assistance was provided by the climate change, agriculture and food security ccafs research programme of the consultative group for. Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in subsaharan. Impacts of climate change on crop production in ethiopia core. Reducing risks to food security from climate change is one of the major challenges of the 21st century. To raise awareness on climate change and food security, and to understand the needs for research and priorities for agricultural adaptation and mitigation in ethiopia, the climate change forum ethiopia ccfe, the ministry of agriculture, usaid ethiopia and the. Analysis of climate impacts on food security and livelihoods, author, year2014 published 2014 the views expressed herein do not reflect the opinion of any of the organisations involved. Climate change vulnerability and risk assessment of. Therefore, this study was investigated impact of climate change on food security using cge model linking with micro simulation, which captures household heterogeneity. Climate impact studies must address food security aspects other than crop yields.
Climate change impacts on crop yield, crop water productivity. Climate change poses one of the gravest risks to mankind as it affects a wide variety of socioeconomic activities, important to world food security. In the central rift valley of ethiopia, climate change and variability is manifest through frequent droughts and floods, erratic rainfall and fluctuating mean temperature 19. Does adaptation to climate change provide food security. Climatesmart agriculture in ethiopia climate change and. Climate impact studies on crops predominate, but impacts on fisheries and livestock production are no less serious creighton et al. Climate change importance in development and food security. Interdisciplinary ecology climate change is projected to disproportionately affect arid and semiarid regions of the world, including the african sahel. Yet, heavy reliance on rainfed systems has made the sector particularly vulnerable to variability in rainfall and temperature. Climate change is expected to increase the surface temperature of the earth and the oceans, raise sea levels, alter the global distribution of rainfall, affect the direction of ocean currents and major airstreams, and increase the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events. Nov 05, 2014 food security is highly sensitive to climate risks in ethiopia. Climate change, adaptation, impact, multivariate probit, instrumental variable. Climate risk and food security in ethiopia wfp remote access. Its agricultural sector, which supports over 90 percent of the population, has been crippled by environmental degradation.
Subsaharan africa is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Food security, as defined by the united nations committee on world food security, means that all people, at all times, have physical, social, and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food that meets their food preferences and dietary needs for an active and healthy life. Climate change may decrease national gross domestic product gdp by 810% by 2050, but adaptation action in agriculture could cut climate shockrelated losses by half. Ethiopia is vulnerable to climate change because our economies largely depend on climate sensitive agricultural production. Feb, 2019 the impacts of climate change effects on livelihoods, food and water security, ecosystems, infrastructure etc. Our own special project on climate change and food security includes fieldlevel reportage on local adaption initiatives in kenya, nigeria, senegal, and zimbabwe. Climate change, livelihood, and household vulnerability in eastern niger by sarah lindley mckune august 2012 chair.
Climate change is commonly recognized as a major issue likely to have negative consequences on food security and livelihoods in the region. The resilience project is a collaborative effort between wfp, the swiss agency for development and cooperation and partners to strengthen the capacities of. Ethiopia is vulnerable to climate change because our economies largely depend on climatesensitive agricultural production. Stakeholderdriven portfolios of options should be a focus for research. Africa is epitomised as the most vulnerable continent to climate changes bwalya 20. Climate change directly and indirectly impacts many aspects of food security, particularly in the agricultural and livestock. Climate change is a global challenge facing humans and their socioeconomic activities, health livelihood, and food security 14. Climate risk management interventions and longterm adaptation actions need to match localized vulnerabilities and impacts. Jun 14, 2017 this academic paper uses ethiopia as a case study detailing how farmers are adapting to climate change. Study session 11 impacts of climate change in ethiopia.
Climate change has already caused significant impacts on water resources, food security, hydropower, human health especially. The food security and climate change teams work in africa we have a strong and rapidly growing presence in africa. The increase in temperature in ethiopia has been most rapid in july, august and september at a. Both primary and secondary data were used for the study, and a multinomial. Yet, with such economic and population growth comes enormous pressure on food and water resources. The views expressed herein do not reflect the opinion of any of the organisations involved. We work with the communities to tackle these challenges through several field projects with. We also thank for their comments on an earlier draft of the paper the participants at the 117th eaae seminar at the university of hohenheim, at the 2010 environment for development annual meeting held in debre zeit ethiopia, and in seminars at eth zurich, the university of. Agricultural production is sensitive to climate change, and food security is sensitive to agricultural production. The seasonality of rainfall varies in different areas of ethiopia. Climate changevariability impacts on farmers livelihoods and. Combining adaptation and mitigation is a key challenge.
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